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Rand treads water before US jobs data as markets assess Federal rate path

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SA Rand was muted in early trade on Friday
The South African (SA) Rand was muted in early trade on Friday as attention ​turned to highly awaited United States (US) jobs data ‌for clues on the Federal Reserve’s next interest rate decision.
The Rand traded at 15.9975 against ​the Dollar, little changed from its ​previous close.
The US nonfarm payrolls report is due, and the unemployment rate ​is expected to hold steady at 4.1%.
The Rand, ​like other emerging market currencies, tends to take direction from global factors, including US economic data and geopolitical ​developments.
ETM Analytics said in a note that if ​employment growth comes in weaker than expected, it would support ‌the ⁠argument for the Federal Reserve to keep interest rates unchanged, reduce expectations of a September rate hike, and likely help the SA Rand strengthen ​against the ⁠Dollar.
“A firm print, especially with wage pressures, would rebuild the case for ​tightening by year-end, lift the Dollar ​index ⁠and push the pair back towards 16.20 as emerging-market betas unwind,” said ETM Analytics.
SA’s benchmark ⁠2035 government ​bond was slightly firmer ​in early deals, as the yield fell 1.5 basis points to ​8.565%.
–Reuters–
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