Activist groups had called for demonstrations over economic hardship, restricted political freedoms and concerns about governance following the disputed October elections.

The government warned that the planned demonstrations are unlawful and amount to an attempted coup, urging citizens to remain at home and attend only official commemorations. The heightened security has subdued what is typically a celebratory national occasion.

Speaking to Channel Africa, Tanzanian Political Analyst Sebatho Nyamsenda said the day remained significant for many citizens, as a reminder of the country’s liberation struggle. He noted, however, that the current political climate has overshadowed the spirit of celebration.

Nyamsenda offered historical context, recalling that although political independence was achieved in the 1960s, the post-colonial state retained many of the authoritarian structures inherited from the former imperial administration.

He argued that while gains were made in earlier decades, political and economic reforms beginning in the 1990s eroded some of those advances, contributing to widening inequality and a narrowing democratic space.

Nyamsenda said Tanzania, like many African countries, has experienced a steady decline in political openness from the 2010s onwards. He argued that former liberation movements across the continent have grown increasingly distant from citizens, relying heavily on state structures to maintain power.

Referring to the October 29 crackdown, which drew international criticism, he said the events were “sad and despicable”, adding that many Tanzanians were calling for a national process of reconciliation. South Africa’s Former President, Thabo Mbeki’s, foundation has also urged dialogue.

Nyamsenda said President Samia Suluhu Hassan has made public commitments to initiate a reconciliation and national dialogue process. However, he noted that contradictory statements from the Presidency, including the dismissal of protesters as foreign-backed agitators, have cast doubt on whether genuine dialogue will take place.

He warned that without political reforms, economic redress and an inclusive national dialogue, Tanzania risks deeper instability. Rising inequality, joblessness and growing frustrations among young people, he said, are driving the calls for change.

–ChannelAfrica–