{"id":46886,"date":"2026-09-30T15:09:39","date_gmt":"2026-09-30T13:09:39","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.channelafrica.co.za\/channelafrica\/?post_type=news&#038;p=46886"},"modified":"2026-09-30T15:09:39","modified_gmt":"2026-09-30T13:09:39","slug":"middle-east-conflict-cuts-seychelles-growth-forecast-to-1","status":"publish","type":"news","link":"https:\/\/www.channelafrica.co.za\/channelafrica\/news\/middle-east-conflict-cuts-seychelles-growth-forecast-to-1\/","title":{"rendered":"Middle East conflict cuts Seychelles growth forecast to 1%"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p>The economy expanded by 5.8% in 2025, but reduced visitor numbers between March and June weakened growth during 2026. \u201cThe effects of the Middle East conflict have been visible in a reduction in tourist arrivals, particularly during March-June,\u201d IMF Mission Chief Todd Schneider said.<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p>\u201cSubsequent months have seen a nascent recovery in arrivals, but real GDP growth for 2026 is projected at 1%.\u201d<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p>An IMF team led by Schneider visited Victoria from September 21 to September 30 to conduct Seychelles\u2019 Post-Financing Assessment.<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p>A Post-Financing Assessment reviews the policies and economic outlook of a country with substantial outstanding IMF credit but without an IMF-supported or staff-monitored programme.<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p>The assessment also considers Seychelles\u2019 medium-term economic viability and capacity to repay the IMF.<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p>Annual inflation remained moderate at 0.9% through August despite rising international commodity prices.<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p>State-owned enterprises absorbed part of the increase through subsidies intended to limit the effect on domestic consumers.<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p>However, the cost weakened the balance sheets of some state-owned enterprises and reduced dividend payments to the government budget. \u201cHeadline inflation remained moderate at 0.9% through August, reflecting a subsidy through state-owned enterprises to limit the pass-through of rising international commodity prices to domestic markets,\u201d Schneider said.<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p>\u201cThe cost of these subsidies has deteriorated some state-owned enterprise balance sheets and reduced dividend payments to the government budget.\u201d<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p>Seychelles\u2019 external position remained broadly stable despite the economic shock.<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p>The Seychelles rupee was broadly stable against the US Dollar, while central bank foreign-exchange reserves remained equivalent to about four months of imports.<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p>The IMF said the effect on the financial sector also appeared limited. \u201cThe external sector has remained broadly stable despite the recent shock,\u201d Schneider said.<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p>\u201cThe Rupee has been broadly stable vis-\u00e0-vis the US Dollar, and central bank foreign-exchange reserves remain at about four months of import cover.\u201d<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p>The IMF Executive Board is expected to consider Seychelles\u2019 Post-Financing Assessment in December 2026.<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p>&#8211;IMF\/ChannelAfrica&#8211;<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"featured_media":35622,"template":"","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"_links_to":"","_links_to_target":""},"news-type":[44],"class_list":["post-46886","news","type-news","status-publish","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","news-type-finance","entry"],"acf":{"short_description":"Seychelles\u2019 economic growth is expected to slow sharply to 1% in 2026 as the Middle East conflict weighs on tourist arrivals, according to the International Monetary Fund (IMF).","published_date":"","news_description":"Seychelles\u2019 economic growth is expected to slow sharply to 1% in 2026 as the Middle East conflict weighs on tourist arrivals, according to the International Monetary Fund (IMF).","form_embed":"","author":"","image_caption":""},"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.channelafrica.co.za\/channelafrica\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/news\/46886","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.channelafrica.co.za\/channelafrica\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/news"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.channelafrica.co.za\/channelafrica\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/news"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/www.channelafrica.co.za\/channelafrica\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/news\/46886\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":46887,"href":"https:\/\/www.channelafrica.co.za\/channelafrica\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/news\/46886\/revisions\/46887"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.channelafrica.co.za\/channelafrica\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/35622"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.channelafrica.co.za\/channelafrica\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=46886"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"news-type","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.channelafrica.co.za\/channelafrica\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/news-type?post=46886"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}